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On February 12, 2026, the Treasury released Notice 2026-15 (the “Notice”), providing guidance and safe harbors related to the Prohibited Foreign Entity (PFE) and Material Assistance Cost Ratio (MACR) restrictions under Sections 45Y, 48E, and 45X of the Internal Revenue Code. The Notice is the first concrete step towards operationalizing the PFE framework adopted on July 4, 2025 in the One, Big, Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). The Notice provides guidance on calculating MACRs and sets forth rules that the Treasury intends to include in future proposed regulations. The Notice provides that taxpayers may rely on the guidance to calculate the Clean Electricity MACR for 45Y/48E qualified facilities or energy storage technologies (EST) and to calculate MACR for eligible components under 45X, prospectively and retroactively. Left unanswered, however, are many questions regarding application of the PFE definitional rules relating to Specified Foreign Entities and Foreign-Influenced Entities. The Notice also requests public comment, including on a number of specific technical and administrative questions, with comments due by March 30, 2026
Foreign-Influenced Entity: The Notice clarifies that a taxpayer is a “foreign-influenced entity”—and therefore a PFE—if the taxpayer made a payment during the previous taxable year to a PFE pursuant to an IP licensing agreement (other than the outright purchase of IP) and such IP agreement is entered into or modified after July 4, 2025.
Multiple MACR Calculation Methods: The Notice provides multiple methods of determining the MACR for clean electricity facilities (45Y, 48E), for ESTs (48E), and for U.S.-produced eligible components (45X).
45Y/48E facilities/ESTs .
45X components
Mandatory Supplier Certifications: OBBBA and the Notice require that taxpayers obtain Certifications from direct suppliers of MPs and MPCs (for 45Y/48E facilities/ESTs) and of constituent materials (for 45X components) that such suppliers are not PFEs, and are not resellers selling for PFEs. Where the taxpayer does not utilize safe harbors, they must obtain Certification as to the cost of MPs/MPCs/constituent materials attributable to PFE-supplied cost up the supply chain.
When taxpayers can use identification and cost percentage safe harbors to calculate the MACR, neither taxpayers nor direct suppliers are obligated to obtain Certifications from sub-suppliers. However, when taxpayers use direct material costs to calculate the MACR, direct suppliers must certify as to cost attributable to PFE-sourced MPs/MPCs/constituent materials and can face penalties for providing certifications they should have known were inaccurate.
In practice, we would expect direct suppliers to request certifications from sub-suppliers, except in scenarios where it is clear that safe harbors can be used such that sub-supplier certifications are not necessary.
Under the OBBBA, a qualified facility (45Y, 48E), energy storage technology (EST) (48E), or eligible component (45X) is ineligible for the relevant tax credit if the construction of the facility (45Y, 48E) or production of the component (45X) includes material assistance from a PFE—defined as failing to meet an applicable MACR (cost percentage) threshold. To be eligible for the credit, taxpayers must calculate the MACR for qualified facilities and ESTs (45Y and 48E) and the MACR for eligible components (45X).
Material Assistance Cost Ratio
|
|
Qualified Facilities (where construction begins in the corresponding year) |
Energy Storage Tech (where construction begins in the corresponding year) |
Solar Energy Components (sold during the corresponding year) |
Wind Components (sold during the corresponding year) |
Inverters (sold during the corresponding year) |
Qualifying Battery Components (sold during the corresponding year) |
Applicable Critical Mineral (sold during the corresponding year) |
|
Calendar year 2026 |
40% |
55% |
50% |
85% |
50% |
60% |
0 |
|
Calendar year 2027 |
45% |
60% |
60% |
90% |
55% |
65% |
0 |
|
Calendar year 2028 |
50% |
65% |
70% |
N/A |
60% |
70% |
0 |
|
Calendar year 2029 |
55% |
70% |
80% |
N/A |
65% |
80% |
0 |
|
Calendar year 2030 |
60% |
75% |
85% |
N/A |
70% |
85% |
25% |
|
Calendar year 2031 |
60% |
75% |
85% |
N/A |
70% |
85% |
30% |
|
Calendar year 2032 |
60% |
75% |
85% |
N/A |
70% |
85% |
40% |
|
After December 31, 2032 |
60% |
75% |
85% |
N/A |
70% |
85% |
50% |
For both 45Y/48E and 45X, the MACR is designed to measure the proportion of value attributable to non‑PFE production or sourcing, based on direct costs of building the facility, or direct material costs of producing the component, respectively.
Qualified Facilities and ESTs
For qualified facilities and ESTs, Treasury proposes a multi‑step process that requires taxpayers to:
The Clean Electricity MACR is then calculated as: (Total Direct Costs − PFE Direct Costs) ÷ Total Direct Costs
A separate MACR must be calculated for each facility or EST placed in service during the taxable year.
Key Definitions:
The Notice includes detailed rules governing:
Eligible Components
For eligible components under § 45X, the structure is similar but narrower in scope. Taxpayers must:
Notably, the Notice states that freight, tariffs, and similar costs are included in Direct Material Costs, and provides special rules for contract manufacturing arrangements, allocating costs to the party performing the substantial transformation.
Averaging and Assignment Flexibility—With Limits
Recognizing the administrative burden of granular tracking, Treasury proposes limited flexibility through:
These averaging rules are tightly constrained, requiring contiguous periods, full‑year coverage, and consistency in component type and production methods.
Perhaps the most practically significant aspect of the Notice is the establishment of three interim safe harbors taxpayers may elect to use while awaiting final regulations. These safe harbors would significantly ease the burden of calculating the MACR using the methods outlined above.
1. Identification Safe Harbor
The Identification Safe Harbor allows taxpayers to identify MPs, MPCs, or constituent materials by reference to the 2023–2025 Safe Harbor Tables, rather than undertaking an individualized analysis. The 2023-2025 Safe Harbor Tables include Notice 2023-38, Sec. 3.04 (offshore wind facility); Notice 2024-41, Sec. 3.02 (Hydropower facility); Notice 2025-08, Sec. 5.05 (Solar PV ground mount), with definitions in Sec. 5.07(13) and (14) (fixed tilt and tracker, respectively), Sec. 5.06 (Solar PV Rooftop), with definitions in Sec. 5.07 (18) and (19) (MLPE and string inverter, respectively), Sec. 6.02 (Land-based wind), with definitions in Sec. 6.03(2) and, Sec. 7.02 (battery energy storage systems), with definitions in Sec. 7.03(6).
Key limitations include:
For eligible components, only a narrow set—including certain inverters, solar modules, and battery modules using battery cells—qualify as “listed eligible components.”
2. Cost Percentage Safe Harbor
The Cost Percentage Safe Harbor allows taxpayers to calculate MACR using IRS‑assigned cost percentages instead of actual costs. This safe harbor is available only if the taxpayer first uses the Identification Safe Harbor and is subject to significant constraints, including:
While administratively appealing, the Cost Percentage Safe Harbor may produce counterintuitive results for retrofits or incremental upgrades.
3. Certification Safe Harbor
Finally, the Certification Safe Harbor permits taxpayers to rely on supplier certifications to establish either:
Certifications must meet strict formal requirements (including attachment to the relevant credit form and six‑year retention), and taxpayers may not rely on a certification if they know or have reason to know it is inaccurate.
Up‑front supply chain diligence will be critical, particularly for developers relying on third‑party equipment and manufacturers operating across multiple jurisdictions. While safe harbors will simplify PFE compliance, they may also be constraining. Taxpayers may consider modeling MACR results under both actual cost and safe harbor approaches before committing to a particular approach. Additionally, transaction documents will need to evolve, including supply agreements, certifications, and representations tied to PFE status and MACR outcomes.
Treasury and the IRS have emphasized that Notice 2026‑15 is interim guidance and that comprehensive proposed regulations addressing material assistance from PFEs and related concepts such as effective control are forthcoming. The Notice requests public comment due by March 30, 2026.
Given the breadth of the material assistance framework, and the operational complexity of the MACR calculations, taxpayers, developers, manufacturers, and investors should consider submitting comments to highlight practical challenges, unintended outcomes, and areas where additional clarity or flexibility may be warranted—particularly with respect to supply‑chain tracing, averaging methodologies, certification reliance, and transition issues.
Hogan Lovells is closely monitoring developments in this area and will continue to provide clients detailed guidance on the evolving PFE and material assistance rules. We’d be pleased to discuss these developments in more detail with you.
Authored by James M. Wickett, Steven R. Schneider, Scott Friedman, and Erida Tosini-Corea.